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Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)GBP/USD of GBP against USD fell by 1.27, with an intraday decrease of 0.40%.Unica: In the second half of November, the sugar production in central and southern Brazil was 1.084 million tons. According to UNICA, the sugar production in central and southern Brazil reached 1.084 million tons in the second half of November, which was 23% lower than the same period last year. The amount of sugarcane crushed was 20.35 million tons, down by 15.2% compared with the same period of last year. Ethanol production was 1.19 billion liters, down 5.18% year-on-year. 44.89% of sugarcane juice was used for sugar production, compared with 46.54% in the same period of last year.

US Secretary of State Blinken: Turkish interests in Syria focus on combating terrorism; Key external participants should not trigger new conflicts.The director of the Federal Aviation Administration will step down early on January 20th. On December 12th, local time, the Federal Aviation Administration said that the director of the Federal Aviation Administration, Mike Whitaker, will step down after President-elect Trump took office on January 20th. It is reported that Whitaker was confirmed for a five-year term in October 2023. In addition, Katie Thomson, deputy director of the Federal Aviation Administration of the United States, will step down on January 10th, and Mark House, assistant director of finance and management of the agency, will be the senior acting official of the agency during the transition period.Some taxis in Kunming spontaneously cut prices to save passenger flow. Officially, personal behavior is not illegal, and unified price adjustment opinions are being sought. Recently, the relevant departments in Kunming issued a notice to solicit suggestions for preferential freight rates in view of the decreasing number of taxi customers. At present, before the deadline for consultation, some taxi drivers in Kunming have started to cut prices spontaneously, and the starting price has dropped from 10 yuan to 6 yuan. The staff of Kunming Transportation and Port and Shipping Development Center said that there is no unified price reduction for the time being, and the opinions of freight rate preferential activities are being sought. They know that some drivers cut prices spontaneously, which is a personal act and not a violation. Regarding the preferential activities, the latest news will be announced in time. (Extreme News)

Spot silver fell more than 2.00% in the day and is now reported at $31.26 per ounce; COMEX silver fell more than 3.00% in a day and is now quoted at $31.98 per ounce.South Korean investors flocked to the gold market. Today, the South Korean National Assembly passed the "Yin Xiyue General Special Inspection Law for Civil Disturbance" and the "Jin Jianxit Inspection Law". According to a survey released by the Korean polling agency on the 12th, 74.8% of the respondents thought that President Yin Xiyue should immediately step down or be impeached, and stop performing his duties. The political situation is turbulent, and the sales of gold bars of the five major banks in South Korea have also increased significantly. On the first day after the emergency martial law incident, that is, on the 4th of this month, more than 1.5 billion won of gold bars were sold, far exceeding the daily average. (CCTV Finance)The Dow opened up 0.04%, the S&P 500 fell 0.2%, the Nasdaq fell 0.4% and Adobe fell 10.4%, and the fiscal year performance guidance fell short of expectations. General Dynamics fell 2.8% and was bearish by institutions. Uber rose by 3.5%, and its volume dropped by nearly 6% yesterday. CFO said that the mobile business will grow steadily. Jinshan Cloud rose 2.5%, and UBS sharply raised its target price to $12.5.